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比尔·盖茨:答对这道题,我将以你的名义做出一笔捐赠
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我们过去只会怪星星。时至今日,我们已经取得了长足的进步。
上万年来,疟疾一直让人类生活在恐惧之中,但是大多数时间里,我们对疟疾的发病原理一无所知。古希腊人认为天狼星或许是引发疟疾的罪魁祸首,公元前270年的中医书推测这种疾病是由三个恶魔散播的,而到19世纪中叶,医生认为疟疾是附近沼泽的瘴气飘进城中引起的(“疟疾”这个词意大利语的意思是“恶浊的空气”)。
现在,我们认清了谁才是我们真正的敌人——蚊子。医生不再让疟疾患者接受放血和嚼树皮等痛苦(而且没有意义)的治疗,最重要的是,面对这种在2000年一年间就导致约87万人死亡的疾病,我们的抗击工作已经取得了重大进展。
这项进展是近年来全球健康领域最为卓越的成果之一。去年,42.9万多人因疟疾而死,其中大部分来自非洲和东南亚。虽然这个数字仍然很高,但与21世纪初期疟疾最为肆虐的时期相比,死亡人数已经总体下降了 50%。我不轻易使用“奇迹”这个词,但这个数字是个名副其实的奇迹。
我们是如何做到这一点的呢?我认为,这要归功于全球在抗击疟疾方面的投入与合作出现了史无前例的增长——从2000年到2015年,疟疾防治资金增长了9倍。这些资金推动实现了多项重大科研突破,使我们能够大规模推广科研成果,将更多精力集中在改善疾病控制和治疗的工作上。
今年10月,距离我和梅琳达第一次提出消除疟疾的倡议将过去整整十年。在当时这个举动极具争议,但是截至现在的发展成果,已经使很多人相信这个目标是可以实现的(虽然仍有一些人会质疑)。
如果我2007年就能知道十年后我们将取得如此巨大的进步,我肯定会为死亡率的大幅下降感到欢欣鼓舞。我也会深深震撼于现在投入使用的驱虫蚊帐竟有如此之多,新型疗法为帮助人们治疗严重疟疾病例发挥了如此重要的作用,快速诊断工具让病人的发现与治疗变得如此简单。但是事情也有不尽如人意之处。
2007年的时候,我以为十年后我们应该已经有了长效疟疾疫苗。世界卫生组织计划明年在撒哈拉以南非洲开始第一代疟疾疫苗的试点接种示范工程,不过如果不打加强针,这种疫苗对儿童的保护效力只能维持不到6个月。我坚信,再过十年,研究人员一定会研发出保护期更长的下一代疫苗。只是十年前,我对我们今天的发展状况过于乐观了。
不过,仍然有很多理由让我们相信疟疾是可以根除的。在抗击疟疾及其传播媒介蚊子的斗争中,我们一直都是全面出击。请大家看看我们目前开展的一系列创新研究:
我想我将在有生之年看到疟疾被彻底消灭。疟疾是一种可以预防并且可以治疗的疾病,公共卫生领域的各项成就已经证明,减少疟疾传播范围、挽救患者生命是可能的,这些正在研发中的新型工具也将会对我们目标的实现发挥巨大作用。虽然我们距离让疟疾从地球上消失还有数十年的路要走,但有一件事是确定的:蚊子已经遇到了它的对手。
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Mosquito Wars
The progress we’ve made to reduce malaria deaths is one of the most remarkable global health stories in recent years.
We’ve come a long way since the days of blaming the stars.
Malaria has terrorized humankind for thousands of years, but for most of that time, we had no idea what caused it. The ancient Greeks thought Sirius the dog star might be responsible. A Chinese medical text from 270 BCE speculated that three demons spread the disease. As recently as the mid-1800s, doctors believed malaria was caused by the stinky fumes that wafted into cities from nearby swamps (the word malaria means “bad air” in Italian).
Today, we know exactly who our enemy is: the mosquito. Doctors no longer subject malaria sufferers to unpleasant (and pointless) treatments like blood-letting and chewing tree bark. Most importantly, we’ve made massive progress in fighting a disease that as recently as 2000 killed nearly 870,000 people in a single year.
This progress is one of the most remarkable global health stories in recent years. Malaria claimed more than 429,000 lives last year, mostly in Africa and Southeast Asia. While that figure is still way too high, it represents a 50 percent reduction overall from the disease’s peak in the early 2000s. I don’t throw the word “miracle” around lightly, but that number is nothing short of miraculous.
How did we get here? I give credit to an unprecedented scale-up in global commitment and cooperation – malaria funding rose by 1,000 percent from 2000 to 2015. This money fueled a number of amazing scientific breakthroughs, enabled us to deliver them at scale, and focused more brainpower on improving both control and treatment efforts.
This October marks a decade since Melinda and I first called for eradicating malaria. It was a controversial move at the time, but the progress made since then has convinced many that this is a realistic goal (although some are still skeptical).
If I had known back in 2007 how much progress we would make in ten years, I would’ve been thrilled by how much we’ve cut the death rate. I’d also be impressed by how many insecticidal bed nets are now in use, how new treatments are helping people with the most severe cases of malaria, and how rapid diagnostic tests have made it easier to find and treat people. But it wouldn’t all be good news.
In 2007, I thought we’d have a long-lasting malaria vaccine by now. The WHO plans to begin pilot demonstration projects of a first-generation malaria vaccine in sub-Saharan Africa next year, although without a booster dose it only protects a child for less than six months. I’m hopeful that researchers will develop a next generation vaccine that offers much longer protection within the next 10 years, but a decade ago I was overly optimistic about where we’d be today.
There are still plenty of reasons to believe we can eradicate malaria, though. In the war against malaria and the mosquitos who carry it, we’re already fighting on every front. Consider the wide array of innovations in development right now:
I think we will see an end to malaria in my lifetime. It’s a preventable and curable disease, and the public health community has already demonstrated that it’s possible to shrink the map and save lives. These new tools in the development pipeline will play a huge role in reaching our goal. While we’re still decades away from wiping malaria off the map for good, one thing is clear: the mosquito has met its match.